links between options and event prediction markets
The odds surface across marketplaces
Our thinking on options, trading, investing.
The odds surface across marketplaces
modeling vol surfaces
skew delta
taxes and options
average price options
computing rebalance quantities
A few common misunderstandings
shadow theta when an event is approaching
earnings extraction example
intraday decay
there's no single volatility, just as there's no single measure of coastline distance
Selling puts in squeezes
Pricing American Style options
American options as "optimal stopping time" problems
votes vs money-weighted votes
Options, volatility, and risk — written by traders, delivered when we publish.