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Nov 21, 2025·Options and Volatility

Options on Levered ETFs (part 2)

Last week, in part 1, we backfilled prerequisite knowledge: 1. Distance in return space: equal percentage moves aren’t equal in compounded or log space 2. Vol bonus vs vol tax: trend and chop change the distribution of a levered asset 3. Derivatives-on-derivatives: options on the underlying ETF are inputs into pricing options on the levered ETF. 4. Vega convexity: OTM options have “vol gamma” or volga which makes their sensitivity or vol changes vary depending on the IV level. This is not t

Nov 21, 2025·Options and Volatility

Option on Levered ETFs (part 1)

“They” say human labor will be irrelevant by 2027. By then, any business you can think will be solved by capital (electricity and tokens) before you brush your teeth in the morning. You either get rich in the next year or join the permanent underclass. So we aren’t shocked that the hottest fads in investing is pure return fuel: * double, triple, even 5x levered ETFs * options (record volumes, with nearly 2/3 of SPX options in 0DTEs!) You’re not gonna break outta that underclass clipping 10

Nov 19, 2025·How Markets Work

"trader" is a uselessly broad term

key differences between retail and institutional traders

Nov 16, 2025·Risk and Edge

the arbitrage reflex is more profitable than the opinion reflex

the "system 2" reaction to a proposition

Nov 13, 2025·Options and Volatility

the art of paranoia

stubborn assumptions die hard

Nov 9, 2025·Risk and Edge

deworsification?

proving diversification is a free lunch

Nov 7, 2025·Options and Volatility

Our newest feature: TRADE IDEAS

How parallel coordinates turn four volatility metrics into actionable trade structures

Nov 5, 2025·Risk and Edge

why poker is used to train traders

speedrunning feedback

Oct 31, 2025·How Markets Work

Spooky? Jeff Yass on Prediction Markets

Jeff Yass on prediction markets

Oct 30, 2025·Options Theory

the messiness of options in the real-world

funding edge cases

Oct 26, 2025·How Markets Work

vol trading is easier than directional trading

every industry has its challenges

Oct 26, 2025·Options and Volatility

VIX futures vs VIX synthetic futures

law of one price in action

Oct 24, 2025·Options and Volatility

what hides in the option chain

things to watch for in option chains

Oct 22, 2025·How Markets Work

so you're interested in trading

resources for beginners

Oct 16, 2025·Options Theory

implying the cost of carry in options

the basis of arbitrage and vol surface modeling

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