Straddles, Volatility, and Win Rates
If you sell fairly priced straddles you win more often than you lose, but the expectancy is zero. Find out why.
If you sell fairly priced straddles you win more often than you lose, but the expectancy is zero. Find out why.
When an outcome is binary with an implied probability, the straddle will tell you the expected move in either direction
Card games used in training
How professional option traders trained
See how out-of-the-money options have non-linear responses to changes in implied volatility
Convexity is a fancy word for "my position size is not constant"
The most important greek for long-dated options
The .50 delta option is not necessarily at-the-money. See how the .50 delta strike holds information about the underlying distribution.
Non-obvious relationships between volatility and management fees
Options, volatility, and risk — written by traders, delivered when we publish.