Twitter Reminds Me Of The Trading Pits
Information games
Information games
A focus on basic probability
The broad trade-offs when trying to isolate volatility bets
Options allow us to express bets on the distribution of the underlying instead of just "will the stock go up or down?"
The problem with buying "low" and selling "high"
Payment for order flow, market segmentation, and returns to scale
How you can be right on direction and still wrong
The difficulty of extracting what markets imply
Seeing the present clearly
Risk is more than a single measure
First principles or fast-follow?
A market-based thought exercise for pricing the value of liquidity
See how the path of returns can alter the distribution of p/l independently of expectancy.
Different state tax regimes make home price comparison difficult.
If you sell fairly priced straddles you win more often than you lose, but the expectancy is zero. Find out why.
Options, volatility, and risk — written by traders, delivered when we publish.