arbitrage is a hall of mirrors
arbitrage-free requirements leads to unintuitive pricing
Our thinking on options, trading, investing.
arbitrage-free requirements leads to unintuitive pricing
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long shot bets against MSTR
the "hardest, nastiest problem in finance"
seat arbitrage and stories
ways to price VIX and what we can learn from it
searching for ideas "left for dead"
2 ideas that get you back to basics
the bid/ask game
on the topic of professional execution
tax loss harvesting
the cost of ingredients that drive option expressions
I had a long chat with a user who’s been trading as a primary means of income for over a decade. I was deeply impressed to watch how this individual followed the recipe we lay out in The Moontower Mission Plan while incorporating their own spice. How they combine “volatility lens” with “directional bias” 1. Uses the Dashboard to find a name and term where the volatility stands out as cheap or expensive 2. Then checks if the stock is near an extreme (using technical indicators they’ve tuned o
A little experiment — talking into a camera instead of writing. The topic… “the most underappreciated aspect of trading” A rough script The Most Underappreciated Aspect of Trading In the world of trading and investing, there’s a lot of talk about modeling and methods and all kinds of geekery. This is all well and good. If you read Moontower, you’ll see plenty of that stuff. But I want to talk about the most underappreciated aspect of trading today. Before we get to that, think about wh
Options, volatility, and risk — written by traders, delivered when we publish.